Can being an early adopter save your hospital millions of dollars?  We both know the answer depends on what one happens to adopt.  Suppose we are discussing the adoption of an idea?  Can that be analogous to not adopting another idea?  I think it can.  Allow me to explain.

Many providers are in the process of making a very expensive, highly complex, and wide-ranging decision regarding their healthcare information technology strategy (HIT) for their electronic healthcare records system (EHR).

A non-trivial moment.  Careers will be made and lost as a result—I’m betting more will be lost.  Why?  By making a bad choice on the EHR, on how to implement it, and on how to modify your organization.

I think the choices will be bad not from lack of effort but from lack of understanding of the complete issue.  What is the part of the issue that is lacking?  It’s the part which requires clairvoyance.  Whew, that was easy.

Defining your requirements does not pass the test of necessity and sufficiency.   It’s like playing darts while blindfolded.  The plan to select, implement, and deploy an EHR must account for a number of risky unknowns, including:

• How will healthcare reform impact my organization
  • What constraints will it produce
  • What demand will it create for new HIT systems
  • What new major operating processes will result
  • When will reform really be implemented
  • How will reform be reformed
  • How will payors, suppliers, and people react to reform
  • How will you offset a resource shortage of fifty percent
  • What will change as a result of
    • Interoperability
    • Certification
    • Meaningful Use
    • Mergers and acquisitions

We don’t know what we don’t know.  That is not a throw-away line.  By definition, we never know what we don’t know.   However, the downstream success of your EHR will be highly dependent on these unknowns.

So, where does your need to be clairvoyant come into play?  One word—flexibility.  Every part of the plan must be built with that requirement in mind.  What will the system need to do in three years?  How will the landscape have changed?

If you aren’t convinced your EHR is either flexible or disposable, you’d benefit by rethinking your plan.  The idea for which I think we need early adopters is to spend time building to what will be, not what is.