Below is a reply I wrote to a post on MU in Healthcare IT News

What’s the probability, that you complete the Stage 1 Meaningful Use requirements?  What’s the probability, after doing your best to meet the Stage 1 requirements that you actually pass the audit?  What’s the probability you’ll have the time needed to implement Stage 2 and 3 before the penalties begin? (That’s sort of like asking if you know the probability of seeing a bluebird on the third Tuesday of June.)

Now, go ahead and calculate an ROI based on everything you don’t know.  Not too easy is it?